Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.205201 0.233526 0.263912 0.298886 0.337976 0.380269 0.429438
2025-11-09 0.163304 0.200362 0.242792 0.294787 0.356595 0.427517 0.514851
2025-11-16 0.134890 0.176643 0.227199 0.292540 0.374328 0.472859 0.600037
2025-11-23 0.113810 0.158002 0.214245 0.290423 0.390161 0.515463 0.683826
2025-11-30 0.100639 0.147190 0.209111 0.296504 0.415488 0.570469 0.785986
2025-12-07 0.088029 0.135186 0.200547 0.296369 0.431578 0.613568 0.874600
2025-12-14 0.077755 0.124978 0.192978 0.296222 0.446747 0.655473 0.963325
2025-12-21 0.069404 0.116440 0.186634 0.296730 0.462158 0.697883 1.054499
2025-12-28 0.063363 0.110625 0.183527 0.301336 0.483287 0.749044 1.160411
2026-01-04 0.058810 0.106579 0.182566 0.308804 0.508771 0.807520 1.279706
2026-01-11 0.053800 0.101154 0.178791 0.311298 0.526413 0.854882 1.384553
2026-01-18 0.050039 0.097398 0.177278 0.317084 0.549274 0.911024 1.505199
2026-01-25 0.046980 0.094693 0.177492 0.326094 0.578529 0.979718 1.650719
2026-02-01 0.042478 0.088836 0.171729 0.324455 0.590069 1.020981 1.755282
2026-02-08 0.038589 0.083665 0.166644 0.323461 0.602420 1.063985 1.864645
2026-02-15 0.035060 0.078762 0.161540 0.321899 0.613482 1.105199 1.972896
2026-02-22 0.033011 0.076579 0.161254 0.328970 0.639952 1.173316 2.128873
2026-03-01 0.030319 0.072737 0.157413 0.329030 0.653726 1.220352 2.251360
2026-03-08 0.027887 0.069150 0.153711 0.328978 0.667127 1.267198 2.375486
2026-03-15 0.025762 0.065977 0.150520 0.329594 0.681659 1.316555 2.506029
2026-03-22 0.024258 0.064030 0.149650 0.334685 0.704848 1.382320 2.668274
2026-03-29 0.023153 0.062878 0.150328 0.342908 0.734459 1.460985 2.856875
2026-04-05 0.021667 0.060633 0.148445 0.345657 0.753440 1.520928 3.014114